WASHINGTON, DC (WUSA)-- For snow lovers, this has been a lousy winter. February yielded just 0.4" at Reagan National and so far we've only had 1.5" for the whole season. It's been a little better at Dulles where 1.3" fell in February and their season total is 5.3"
As we are no into Meteorological spring, which runs from March 1 to May 30, we are climatologically in a much more active time of year for the BIG winter storms. The Superstorm of '93 was born in the Gulf of Mexico on March 12 and died in the North Atlantic on March 15.
The 0z model runs of the ECMWF(Euro) and the GFS both had a strengthening area of low pressure at 6z(1 AM) Wednesday, March 6th.
The image below is the GFS. It has the low near Charleston, SC and then moves the low ENE heading out to sea. This would give us a glancing blow at worst.
This image below is from the ECMWF. The Euro has been somewhat consistent for a couple of days now. If this solution verifies, we will be dumped with heavy, wet snow starting Tuesday night, through Wednesday and it could last into Thursday morning.
We're still 5 days away and a lot can change, so Topper, Erica and I will be watching the models all weekend long. Not time to panic just yet, but for snow lovers, this could be your last chance of the season as I think spring will be arriving by the middle of the month.
Have a GREAT weekend!